CME Traders Bet Big Against Bitcoin As US Fed Rate Cut Looms
The post CME Traders Bet Big Against Bitcoin As US Fed Rate Cut Looms appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Traders on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) have been increasing their short positions on Bitcoin futures ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, according to K33 analyst David Zimmerman. This move indicates a cautious approach in the market, as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to announce its latest interest rate decision later today by 2 pm ET The Looming Rate Cut And The Beforemath So far, current market sentiment points towards a 50 basis-point rate cut, a significant change from the usual monetary policy. This would be the first-rate reduction in four years, causing market participants to brace for potential volatility. Zimmerman noted that CME traders have notably increased their short positions by 5,500 BTC over the past two days, pushing futures premiums to a nine-month low. This trend suggests a shift towards bearish sentiment on Bitcoin in anticipation of the FOMC’s decision. Additionally, the CME futures market is reflecting fears of heightened volatility, similar to what occurred following the recent US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release. According to Zimmerman, the “downward sloping futures premiums” on CME, now below 5% for the first time since January 15, indicate “hedging against potential risks” associated with the FOMC meeting. Implications Of Interest Rate Cuts On Bitcoin Zimmerman pointed out that although rate cuts usually relief market conditions and may enhance liquidity for risk assets like Bitcoin, worries about a possible economic downturn remain. The analyst mentioned that the anticipated 50 basis-point cut has amplified these concerns. Historical precedents show that such a significant reduction, like those in 2001 and 2007, heightened recession fears. Currently, with real interest rates at their cyclical highs and inflation cooling, the Federal Reserve may consider swift cuts to reach a “neutral rate”—a rate that neither stimulates nor restricts the economy, Zimmerman suggested.…
Filed under: News - @ September 18, 2024 4:29 pm