Is a Bull Run on the Horizon?
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The Bitcoin market has entered its fourth quarter this month. As the market steps into the final quarter of 2024, the expectations remain high. Traditionally, Q4 has been favorable for the BTC market. In Q4 2024, the market delivered an impressive return of +56.65%. Since 2011, at least eight times, Bitcoin has provided a positive return in Q4. If the market follows the historical pattern, this quarter will likely be an extremely bullish period for Bitcoin. In mid-March, the BTC price crossed the threshold of $73,000, creating a new all-time high. It was the reason why the market recorded an enviable return of +68.7% in the first quarter. In Q2 (-12% return) and Q3 (+0.76% return), the market struggled to outperform Q1 and failed to achieve a new all-time high. Will BTC hit a new All-Time High this quarter? Here are the top factors that can determine whether a new all-time high is possible this quarter or not. Macroeconomic Conditions Will Be Crucial A strong macroeconomic environment is pertinent for the Bitcoin market to perform well in this quarter. Indicators like unemployment rates and inflation data can significantly influence the market. Recently, when the US Fed announced an interest rate cut, the market responded by climbing upwards. Meanwhile, when the Israel-Iran conflict escalated to new levels, the market started to decline as a quick reaction. The US economy is right now navigating one of its toughest times. As long as the economy avoids falling into a recession, the chances will remain high for the BTC market to create a new all-time high this quarter. Political Influence Could Shape the Market Many expect a shift in the US government’s attitude towards the crypto sector post the presidential election. Both Democrats and Republicans are now aware of the significance of the sector,…
Filed under: News - @ October 4, 2024 1:23 pm