Polymarket Betting Odds Show Trump Widening Lead Over Harris in Key Swing States
The post Polymarket Betting Odds Show Trump Widening Lead Over Harris in Key Swing States appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
TLDR: Trump leads Harris by 15% on Polymarket, the largest gap so far Trump favored in 6 out of 7 swing states according to betting odds Betting volumes on Polymarket’s election market near $2 billion Harris maintains slim lead only in Nevada among swing states Betting odds have accurately predicted 77% of presidential elections in last 35 years As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, betting odds on the decentralized prediction market Polymarket indicate a growing lead for former President Donald Trump over Vice President Kamala Harris. The latest data shows Trump with a 15 percentage point advantage, the largest gap between the two candidates recorded on the platform to date. Polymarket users are currently betting on an approximate 58% chance that Republican candidate Donald Trump will win the election, compared to a 43.1% chance for Democratic candidate Kamala Harris. This significant spread in the odds has caught the attention of political observers and market analysts alike. The “Presidential Election Winner 2024” market on Polymarket has become one of the most active election betting contracts this political cycle. With less than three weeks until Election Day on November 4, betting volumes for this outcome have approached $2 billion. Trump has captured the majority of this volume, worth over $561 million, while Harris trails with $381 million. Trump’s odds have improved in nearly every swing state, according to Polymarket data. The former president is now favored to win in six out of seven battleground states that are likely to determine the election outcome. These include Arizona (68% chance), Georgia (64% chance), Pennsylvania (54% chance), Michigan (52% chance), North Carolina (63% chance), and Wisconsin (52% chance). The only swing state where Harris maintains a slim lead is Nevada, where she holds a 51% chance of victory compared to Trump’s 49%. This state-by-state…
Filed under: News - @ October 16, 2024 10:23 am