XRP ETF inflows could exceed $8.3B by 2026, says Standard Chartered
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NAV benchmarks for BTC and ETH ETFs underpin the forecast. SEC’s final deadline for XRP ETF approval is 12 October. Polymarket data shows a 79% chance of approval by year-end. Anticipation over an XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF) is building in the crypto sector as analysts weigh up potential inflows, market impacts, and regulatory dynamics. While rumours and delays have shaped much of the recent conversation, data-driven forecasts from key institutions now offer a clearer picture. Standard Chartered Bank projects that a US-listed XRP spot ETF could attract between $4.4 billion and $8.3 billion in inflows within its first year, based on net asset value benchmarks seen in existing Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. This projection, while optimistic, comes with caution from others in the market. Standard Chartered bases its projection on ETF benchmarks Standard Chartered’s head of digital assets research, Geoff Kendrick, said NAV-to-market-cap ratios from already approved US spot ETFs were used to model potential XRP ETF inflows. Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs currently show NAVs of around 6% and 3% of their respective market caps. Applying these ratios to XRP’s market capitalisation results in a $4.4 billion to $8.3 billion range. Kendrick highlighted data from Bitwise ETPs in Europe, where XRP, Solana, and Litecoin trade alongside BTC and ETH. He noted that altcoins account for a greater share of ETP NAV relative to their market caps, although this may reflect the lower number of products available for altcoins compared to Bitcoin and Ethereum. XRP price forecast revised amid ETF optimism Based on anticipated ETF inflows, Standard Chartered forecasts a significant XRP price increase. The bank expects XRP to rise to $5.50 by the end of 2025 and reach $8.00 by 2026. The target for 2029 is set at $12.25. This forecast assumes XRP ETF approval and a general continuation…
Filed under: News - @ May 2, 2025 3:25 pm