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Another 25bp rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand on 28 May seems likely. Markets are fully pricing it in, following the RBNZ’s previous indications that growth remains a major concern, ING’s FX analysts Francesco Pesole and Chris Turner note. US-China trade tensions can drive AUD/NZD to 1.10-1.11 “However, market pricing for two additional cuts after May looks a little too dovish given non-tradable inflation remained elevated at 4% and the unemployment rate flattened at 5.1% in the first quarter.” “The Kiwi dollar should keep acting as a lower-beta version of AUD to trade news. Further de-escalation in US-China trade tensions can drive AUD/NZD back to the 1.10-1.11 area where it traded at the start of this year.” Source: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/nzd-usd-rbnz-to-keep-cutting-in-may-ing-202505141049

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Filed under: News - @ May 14, 2025 2:23 pm