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J.P. Morgan research suggests the probability of a U.S. recession in 2025 is dropping below 50% from its 60% peak, now that the Trump administration is pulling punches on some of its more aggressive tariff policies, allowing the S&P 500 to rebound after dipping into correction territory back in March. However, the risk is still high.  But don’t worry — recessions and crashes do not necessarily spell doom for your portfolio.  Instead of trying to time the market perfectly or panic-selling during downturns, which usually leads to missed opportunities, you should look for companies more likely to weather economic storms and come back stronger once the dust has settled.  Here are three of them. 1. Walmart (WMT) Walmart (NYSE: WMT) thrived during the last two recessions, and no wonder — we need groceries, even when the economy is nothing to write home about.  The company finds itself in a uniquely favorable position in this regard. Namely, in times of economic slowdown, its reputation for affordability draws in budget-conscious customers, while its large footprint allows it to absorb market shocks with minimal friction. What’s more, around two-thirds of Walmart’s inventory is produced in the U.S., which gives the retailer quite a bit of cushion amidst rising global trade tensions.  Sure, the WMT stock plummeted 6% amid rising tariff fears earlier this year, but over the past year, Walmart has delivered a 47% return compared to the mere 10% delivered by the S&P 500. Accordingly, analysts remain upbeat about its prospects, suggesting a slow but steady increase in the coming months. WMT vs. S&P 500. Source: AlphaSpread.com 2. HCA Healthcare (HCA) HCA Healthcare (NYSE: HCA) is the largest non-governmental hospital chain in the U.S. While not all sectors of the healthcare industry are resilient during economic downturns, those related to critical care…

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Filed under: News - @ May 23, 2025 11:24 am