Deutscher built the ARS by studying past bull cycles and incorporating four critical indicators that historically precede major altcoin rallies. According to his model, a new altcoin season will require the following conditions:

Bitcoin Dominance Breakdown: BTC dominance must fall below 60%, with a 4-point decline over 21 days to signal capital rotation.
Ethereum Leadership: ETH/BTC must break above the 200-day moving average and reach a new 90-day high, indicating ETH-led market momentum.
Altcoin Seasonal Index Surge: The proprietary index must rise above 40 and climb for two consecutive weeks, reflecting broad-based altcoin participation.
Retail and Trend Metrics: Market sentiment, trend momentum, and stablecoin liquidity must show clear bullish signals.

Deutscher anticipates that the coming altseason—what he dubs Altseason 3.0—will be shorter and more sector-specific than its predecessors. He attributes this to two primary factors: a global liquidity crunch and a greater supply of new altcoins than in previous cycles, making selective investment even more critical.

His model doesn’t guarantee timing, but it offers a data-driven framework for navigating the next phase of the market. If ARS signals align, altcoin investors could be looking at a renewed—if more selective—cycle of outsized gains.

The post Altcoin Rally Score Model Revealed Conditions for Altseason 3.0 appeared first on Coindoo.

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Filed under: Bitcoin - @ June 8, 2025 11:01 pm