The post Polymarket accurately predicted Israel’s strike on Iran appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.

Prediction market Polymarket saw bets pointing toward military action against Iran 2 days before Israeli fighter jets launched a preemptive strike across the country early Friday. Wagers on the platform yesterday showed a 60% probability of an Israeli assault on Iran. After news of the strikes broke, several new bets were published on the platform leaning towards an Iranian retaliation. Polymarket odds showed only a 12% chance the conflict would subside by next Friday, while the likelihood of Iran declaring war on Israel within the same timeframe fell to 33% after reaching 55% in the early hours of Friday. Iran war declaration on Israel odds. Source: Polymarket The attack is one of the most profound Israeli military operations in years, targeting dozens of nuclear and military sites across Iran. Israeli officials have called the events “missions to preserve our existence.” Odds of Israel declaring war on Iran in the next week are now at 25%. Multiple strikes across Iran, including nuclear facility at Natanz “More than 100 targets have been struck across Iran,” said IDF spokesperson Rear Admiral Daniel Hagari during a live briefing Friday morning. “Over 330 munitions have been deployed as part of a precise and synchronized operation.” Among the targets was Iran’s uranium enrichment plant at Natanz, located in central Iran. Iranian state media confirmed the facility was hit multiple times, releasing footage of thick black smoke rising from the site. The Natanz facility has thousands of advanced centrifuges used to enrich uranium. The extent of the damage to the underground infrastructure is not known, although Israeli officials said the operation focused on “military targets and targets from the nuclear program.” In Tehran, multiple videos taken around 3:30 a.m. local time showed fire and smoke engulfing buildings in the northern part of the capital. In one clip,…

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Filed under: News - @ June 13, 2025 8:27 am