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Bitcoin remains the benchmark of digital assets, and according to global asset manager VanEck, its evolution into “digital gold” is nearly complete. In an interview on The Paul Barron Show, Matthew Sigel, VanEck’s Head of Digital Assets Research, reaffirmed that the four-year Bitcoin cycle still defines the asset’s long-term rhythm. Each halving — a programmed 50% reduction in block rewards — strengthens Bitcoin’s scarcity narrative while reducing new supply. The firm pointed to Bitcoin’s capped supply of 21 million coins and its growing adoption by ETFs, corporations, and even sovereign holders. With roughly $196 billion in combined institutional and government exposure by mid-2025, VanEck described Bitcoin as an emerging macro-hedge against inflation and currency debasement. Its fixed issuance schedule, Sigel noted, makes it resistant to the same monetary dilution that erodes fiat purchasing power. As summarized in the VanEck interview, Bitcoin’s function has shifted from speculative instrument to policy-independent store of value — an outcome that validates the thesis but limits the explosive growth of earlier cycles. The Growth Curve Flattens for Late Bitcoin Entrants VanEck’s outlook reinforces Bitcoin’s strength but also its maturity. The firm highlighted that Bitcoin has outperformed every major asset class in eight of the past eleven years, delivering a 35,225% return over the last decade. Yet those gains belong mostly to early participants. Institutional ownership has replaced the retail speculation that once drove volatility. With ETFs absorbing liquidity and compliance frameworks tightening, Bitcoin’s price action increasingly resembles a macro asset rather than a frontier market. For long-term portfolios, that stability is attractive; for new investors, it means the likelihood of 100× gains has faded. As Bitcoin integrates further into traditional finance, its compounding curve naturally compresses. The very factors that now make it reliable — transparency, custody solutions, and regulation — also anchor its potential…

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Filed under: News - @ November 4, 2025 2:27 pm