TL;DR:

On-chain data shows retail capitulation in BTC, ETH, and XRP, which analysts interpret as a potential bottom signal.
Experts highlight early momentum momentum in Bitcoin and relative strength in Ethereum and XRP as signs of tentative recovery.
Analysts forecast 20-40% near-term gains for ETH and XRP, but caution that broader recovery requires macro catalysts and inflows.

Recent on-chain data and expert insights suggest that Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP may be entering a recovery phase, fueled by retail capitulation and improving momentum across markets. Analysts highlight that this behavior is often a positive contrarian signal: small wallets are selling aggressively, potentially signaling a bottom. Coupled with waning dislocation and early signs of stabilization, market observers believe that a rebound could be forming — though macro catalysts may be needed to sustain it.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP are all showing good signs of a potential rebound with retail dumping on all three. We measure small, retail wallets as:

<0.01 coin $BTC Wallets: 0.36% of holdings dumped in past 5 days
<0.1 coin $ETH Wallets: 0.90% of holdings dumped in past… pic.twitter.com/VWlICTapEu

— Santiment (@santimentfeed) November 18, 2025

Capitulation, Momentum, and Structural Weakness

Analysts note that retail investor wallets—especially smaller BTC, ETH and XRP accounts—are offloading aggressively, a pattern that on-chain analytics firm Santiment describes as capitulation. That kind of widespread exit can indicate that speculative sellers are washing out, creating room for selective accumulation and renewed conviction, particularly if larger players begin re-engaging.

At the same time, momentum indicators are showing early bullish divergences in lower-time-frame charts. According to Illia Otychenko, lead analyst at CEX.IO, Bitcoin may be stabilizing as selling pressure fades, though he warns that without broader macro support, any recovery “is likely to be more modest.”

Some analysts, however, emphasize that Bitcoin’s structure remains more fragile than that of several altcoins. Georgii Verbitkii, founder of crypto yield protocol TYMIO, suggests that BTC is drifting downward with weak rebounds, while certain altcoins exhibit more resilience. He points out that Ethereum and XRP could benefit from better relative strength, particularly if institutional or speculative flows re-enter.

Although Otychenko is skeptical of a broad altcoin rally just yet, other experts see more upside for ETH and XRP. Analysts expect 20–40% gains for Ethereum and XRP in the near term, assuming accumulation continues and sentiment turns more positive. Technical traders also point to strengthening support and possible breakout setups in XRP, hinting at a more constructive phase ahead, even if it is not yet a full-blown alt season.

Nevertheless, the consensus remains cautious. Recovery may remain uneven without powerful macro catalysts. Selective strength among ETH and XRP, along with capitulation in retail wallets, might mark the early innings of a rebound — but sustained upside likely hinges on renewed institutional flows and broader market clarity.

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Filed under: News - @ November 19, 2025 7:28 pm