The post Kalshi Traders Price Bearish Odds on $100K Bitcoin Rebound in 2025 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.

Key Notes Bitcoin price rebounded 17% this week but failed to break above the $95,000 resistance despite renewed ETF inflows. Prediction markets turned bearish after Kalshi’s market-manipulation lawsuit, with traders cutting odds of Bitcoin price retaking $100,000 before the end of 2025. BlackRock’s $117 million outflow and muted whale activity, including Strategy’s pause in weekly purchases, signal weakening bullish conviction. Bitcoin price rebounded 17%, moving from lows near $82,000 on November 21 to graze the $93,000 level on November 28. Bitcoin ETFs recorded a combined $221 million in net inflows between Nov. 25 and Nov. 28. Still, despite closing Friday with a modest $74 million net-positive session, BTC failed to advance beyond the key $95,000 resistance. Blackrock’s $117 million outflows of Friday stand out despite $74 million net inflows on Friday, Nov 28 | Source: FarsideInvestors BlackRock’s heavy outflow of $117 million stood out. As the world’s largest asset manager, its positioning often sets the tone for other institutional investors globally. Strategy (MSTR) Bitcoin purchase history Aug 11 to Nov 17, 2025 | Source: Bitbo.io Further underscoring the cautious stance among Bitcoin whales, Strategy Inc. made no purchases last week, ending a 14-week run that began in August. According to Bitbo data, the Michael Saylor-led firm confirmed its last buy on Nov. 17, when it acquired 8,178 BTC for $836 million, lifting total holdings to 649,870 BTC. Bitcoin’s weak momentum is also reflected in the prediction markets, where Kalshi now faces a major lawsuit over market manipulation and accusations of betting against its own users. Intraday Kalshi order books on Nov. 29 showed traders pricing lower odds of Bitcoin reclaiming $100,000 before the end of 2025, with markets increasingly leaning towards a close below $80,000. Kalshi odds on Bitcoin price rebounding to $100,000 in 2025 drops 11% on Nov 29…

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Filed under: News - @ November 29, 2025 7:23 pm