Musk bets dominance if xAI survives 3 years
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During a high-energy all-hands in San Francisco, Elon Musk told staff that the success of xAI AGI-related efforts will determine whether the company can overtake entrenched AI rivals. Musk’s three-year survival window for xAI and AGI timeline According to several people present at last week’s meeting, Elon Musk told xAI employees that the company must survive the next two to three years to emerge as a dominant force in advanced AI. He framed this period as an intense survival test, not just for xAI but for every firm racing to build superintelligence. Musk argued that massive computing power and scalable data storage will be the decisive advantages in that race. In his view, whoever ramps GPU infrastructure fastest will win the contest to build AI systems that surpass human intelligence across tasks. That, he said, is how xAI becomes the most powerful AI company. He went further and predicted that the company could hit artificial general intelligence in just a few years, potentially as early as 2026. Moreover, he described AGI as the point where AI can think as well as, or better than, humans on a wide range of problems. People in the room said Musk reiterated that xAI could reach AGI by 2026, underscoring how compressed he believes the timeline has become. However, he also acknowledged that achieving that breakthrough depends on scaling infrastructure and keeping the company well funded through this critical window. Funding firepower and the Colossus build-out Musk told staff that xAI expects to have access to about $20 billion to $30 billion in funding each year, giving it a war chest that many competitors lack. He stressed that this financial strength is bolstered by synergies with his other companies, which can share technology, data and deployment channels. The centerpiece of that strategy is the…
Filed under: News - @ December 18, 2025 1:22 pm