The post Bitcoin’s $100K Level Emerges as Key Condition for Crypto Market Trend Reversal appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.

TLDR: Bitcoin must reclaim $100K cost basis of 6-12 month holders to confirm bullish trend structure shift Trading below this threshold historically maintains bearish momentum and elevates downside risk levels DeMark 13 exhaustion signal and Trend Chameleon flip indicate selling pressure depletion and regime shift Current macro setup mirrors 2021 conditions with historical median 90-day returns near 9.6% recorded A single threshold now determines whether the cryptocurrency market can reverse its recent bearish structure and enter sustained bullish territory.  Bitcoin must reclaim the cost basis of coins that last moved six to twelve months ago, currently positioned near $100,000.  This level represents the critical condition that historically separates downtrends from uptrends, with market analysts closely monitoring price action around this pivotal marker. The $100K Cost Basis Defines Market Direction The 6-12 month holder cost basis functions as the primary condition for any meaningful trend reversal. Trading below this level keeps the market structure bearish and maintains elevated downside risk.  Historical patterns confirm that sustained price action beneath this threshold reinforces the continuation of negative trends. Markets rarely achieve bullish momentum without first breaking through this barrier. Reclaiming this cost basis triggers a fundamental shift in market dynamics. The transition typically marks the end of distribution phases and signals the beginning of accumulation.  Crypto analyst Dan emphasizes that the broader market cannot flip bullish until Bitcoin decisively crosses above this singular level. The condition remains unfulfilled as long as price action stays compressed below $100,000. The Key Condition for a Trend Reversal in the Crypto Market “If Bitcoin can reclaim the 6–12 month holder cost basis (~100K), the market structure shifts. That break typically marks a transition toward a bullish trend and opens room for additional upside. – By @DanCoinInvestor pic.twitter.com/1m7CQ38OLv — CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) January 6, 2026 After weeks of sideways…

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Filed under: News - @ January 7, 2026 2:28 am