The post ADA: Rise or Fall? January 13, 2026 Scenario Analysis appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.

ADA is experiencing horizontal consolidation around $0.39. RSI neutral (50.59), although MACD gives a short-term bull signal, Supertrend is bearish and resistances are strong. This critical juncture offers equal probability for both upside and downside breakout; traders should prepare for both scenarios. Current Market Situation Cardano (ADA) is trading at the $0.39 level as of January 13, 2026. It has followed a horizontal course in the $0.38-$0.40 range with a 1.45% rise in the last 24 hours. Volume remains at a moderate level of 431.42M$, and the overall trend can be described as sideways. Technical indicators are giving mixed signals: RSI at 50.59 in the neutral zone, MACD showing short-term bull momentum with a positive histogram, price holding above EMA20 ($0.39) carrying a short-term bullish bias. However, Supertrend is giving a bear signal and $0.42 forms a strong resistance. Critical supports are at $0.3836 (strength score 75/100), $0.3922 (74/100), and $0.3294 (63/100). Resistances are at $0.3964 (88/100), $0.4143 (65/100), and Supertrend-indicated $0.42. Multi-timeframe (MTF) analysis detects 11 strong levels across 1D/3D/1W timeframes: 1 support/2 resistances on 1D, 2 supports/1 resistance on 3D, 2 supports/4 resistances weighted on 1W. Market is unaware; no recent developments. This setup balances the R/R ratio: Upside target $0.4374 (12% potential), downside target $0.3525 (-9.6% loss) offering reasonable risk/reward from current levels. Traders should focus on volume and closes. Scenario 1: Upside Scenario How Does This Scenario Unfold? The upside scenario is triggered by ADA breaking current resistances. First step: strong close above $0.3964 (88/100 strength) resistance (preferably on 1H/4H candles). To support this breakout, expect +20% volume increase, RSI above 60, and MACD histogram expansion. Persistence above EMA20 is already bullish; Supertrend turning green (likely on $0.4143 breakout) provides confirmation. MTF alignment is critical: bullish candle on 1D + support hold on 3D. If there’s…

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Filed under: News - @ January 14, 2026 2:18 am