The post Bitcoin $100K Odds Surge as Charts Signal Repeat Rebound appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.

Prediction markets now put Bitcoin’s January finish above $100,000 as the most likely outcome, while a separate technical chart shows BTC replaying a prior rebound setup. Together, the data points to bullish positioning near a key psychological level as traders watch whether the latest breakout holds.  Bitcoin $100K Odds Rise as Traders Price January Rebound Bitcoin traders pushed probabilities toward a six-figure January close as prediction markets showed growing confidence in a rebound narrative tied to U.S. liquidity expectations. Data displayed by Opinion Labs shows a 59.4% chance that Bitcoin trades at or above $100,000 by Jan. 31, based on spot BTC/USDT one-minute candles used as the reference price. The same market assigns a 24.1% probability to $105,000 and 8.1% to $110,000, while downside outcomes near $85,000 hold about a 15.1% chance. Bitcoin January $100K Odds Market. Source: Opinion Labs The image indicates the $100,000 outcome attracted the largest share of volume among listed contracts, with bids and asks clustered tightly around the prevailing probability. In contrast, higher targets carry thinner liquidity and lower implied odds, suggesting traders concentrate risk around the round-number level rather than a rapid extension. Meanwhile, bearish scenarios below $90,000 draw comparatively limited participation, signaling reduced conviction in a sharp January pullback. Arthur Hayes added fuel to the upside case in a post highlighted alongside the market data, saying he expects a strong Bitcoin rebound as U.S. dollar liquidity expands under the Trump administration. Hayes linked the outlook to policy conditions rather than near-term technicals, framing liquidity as a key driver for risk assets. Markets reflected that view by lifting the $100,000 contract during mid-January trading, while probabilities for higher strikes moved more modestly. Overall, the snapshot shows sentiment leaning constructive but selective. Traders favor a reclaim of $100,000 without aggressively pricing an immediate surge beyond…

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Filed under: News - @ January 15, 2026 1:24 pm