Bitcoin OGs’ sell-off falls by 73%, but will that help BTC’s Q1 outlook?
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Bitcoin OGs have reduced their selling pressure, further boosting the crypto asset’s recovery odds. These are investors who showed early conviction in BTC, including early miners, developers, and first adopters. Some of these investors purchased BTC when the price was below $100 and subsequently made a massive profit after holding for over 5 years. The explosive Bitcoin [BTC] run this cycle attracted profit-taking from this cohort, a move some analysts said partially slowed the asset’s momentum in 2025. However, at press time, the selling pressure from Bitcoin OGs had dropped from a 90-day average of 3,000 BTC in 2024 to 1,000 BTC as of 2026 – A 73% decline in two years. Source: CryptoQuant Institutional demand surpasses mined BTC So far, 2026’s market shifts have been positive for BTC. Notably, the massive selling pressure in late 2025 from long-term holders (Investors who held BTC for more than 5 months), ETF outflows, and excessive leverage has largely been reset. This has provided the structural foundation for a solid recovery. In fact, the current institutional demand for BTC is nearly five times its new supply, or the BTC miners mint. As of mid-January 2026, institutions have absorbed 30k BTC, way more than the freshly minted 5.7k BTC. Source: Bitwise A similar trend was observed in 2025 and 2024 when ETFs debuted. In fact, JPMorgan analysts predicted that crypto inflows will surge in 2026, following a record $130 billion in 2025. The analysts wrote, “The rebound in institutional flows we project for 2026 is likely to be facilitated by the passage of additional crypto regulations such as the Clarity Act in the U.S., which is likely to trigger further institutional adoption of digital assets as well as fresh institutional activity.” Will BTC’s recovery extend itself? Here, it’s worth stating that the True MVRV,…
Filed under: News - @ January 16, 2026 5:25 am