Alex Gurevich: Interest rates may return to zero, the long-term bond market trend is breaking down, and parabolic rallies follow slow upward trends
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Alex Gurevich: Interest rates may return to zero, the long-term bond market trend is breaking down, and parabolic rallies follow slow upward trends | Forward Guidance Interest rates may return to zero due to current economic conditions. The long-term bond market trend is breaking down, signaling a shift in economic conditions. Asset prices often experience parabolic rallies after a slow upward trend. Key Takeaways Interest rates may return to zero due to current economic conditions. The long-term bond market trend is breaking down, signaling a shift in economic conditions. Asset prices often experience parabolic rallies after a slow upward trend. The breakdown of a long-term trading channel in bonds during COVID was a critical caution signal. The risk parity strategy failed in 2022 as both stocks and bonds sold off simultaneously. Liquidity conditions significantly influence which asset classes to trade. Trades should be selected for their potential to succeed now or in the future. Traders must sometimes adapt to market movements without understanding the reasons. Silver pricing is driven by market sentiment rather than mathematical formulas. Simplicity in trading strategies helps avoid unnecessary complexity and losses. The economic climate and liquidity environment are crucial for strategic trading decisions. Market psychology plays a significant role in asset price movements. Guest intro Alex Gurevich is the Founder and CIO of HonTe Advisors, LLC. He previously served as Managing Director of global macro trading at JPMorgan. He is the bestselling author of The Next Perfect Trade. The potential return to zero interest rates There is a disproportionate chance for interest rates to return to zero due to economic conditions. — Alex Gurevich Current economic climate suggests a potential decline in interest rates. If that financial impulse from the stock market will dwindle and at the same time we’re having decaying job markets, I…
Filed under: News - @ February 14, 2026 7:18 pm