Analyst Warns Bitcoin Bear Cycle Could Last Until October 2026
The post Analyst Warns Bitcoin Bear Cycle Could Last Until October 2026 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Bitcoin Bitcoin’s surge toward the $124,000–$126,000 zone in early October 2025 may have marked the turning point of the cycle rather than the start of a new leg higher. Key Takeaways Bitcoin likely entered a bear cycle after its October 2025 peak. Technical indicators confirm a sustained downtrend. A bottom range between $32,000 and $60,000 is in focus, with $49,000 as a key level. If the cycle follows history, a potential low could form by October 2026. According to market analyst Colin Talks Crypto, the rally that capped early Q4 enthusiasm likely transitioned into a full bear phase shortly afterward. By late January 2026, he estimated the market was already roughly 32–35% through a standard one-year correction cycle. If that historical rhythm holds, the downturn is not in its early days – it is already well underway. Bear Structure Taking Shape Technical signals support the argument that Bitcoin has shifted into a sustained corrective environment. The asset has been trading below both its 21-week moving average and the 200-day EMA – levels often viewed as dividing lines between bull momentum and extended downside phases. In terms of price targets, Colin outlines a broad potential bottoming range between $32,000 and $60,000. Within that zone, $49,000 stands as his primary projection. That area also aligns with levels other market participants consider a key structural floor where long-term buyers may step back in. If prior cycle patterns repeat, a final low could emerge around October 2026 – approximately one year after the euphoric peak. Macro Pressure And Liquidity Shock The reversal from October highs unfolded alongside broader macro turbulence. On October 10, 2025, markets were rattled after a 100% tariff announcement on Chinese imports, triggering a sharp liquidation cascade. Roughly $19 billion was wiped out in a single day, amplifying volatility across risk…
Filed under: News - @ February 15, 2026 6:08 am