The Clarity Act – A Potential ETH Super-Cycle Trigger as Prediction Markets Signal 90% Approval Odds
The post The Clarity Act – A Potential ETH Super-Cycle Trigger as Prediction Markets Signal 90% Approval Odds appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The crypto market is experiencing some serious sentiment shifts as legislators gain traction. After the Genius Act resulted in significant stablecoin inflows and boosted liquidity into 2025, focus has now shifted to the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act. According to Polymarket, there’s a 90% chance it’ll be passed before April 2026. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe has said this could bolster Ethereum massively and trigger broader upside across the crypto market. The “Genius Act” Precedent and Stablecoin Velocity To understand the fuss over the Clarity Act, it helps to use the GENIUS Act (Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act) as a guidepost. The rollout of the Genius Act served as a proof-of-concept of what certainty can do to invite institutional participation, and close on the heels of that came a steady and accelerated influx of stablecoins, the infrastructure’s “dry powder.” When velocity of stablecoins picks up, it indicates the movement from a holding pattern to deployment. This fresh liquidity provided the fuel for large assets like Bitcoin and Ether to embark on a sustained bullish trend. The Clarity Act is expected to build on that inertia by providing even more granular legal frameworks for DeFi and asset tokenization – not just applicable to secret stablecoin reserves, but across the board. Prediction Markets and the 90% Confidence Interval The rapid rise in Polymarket odds to a 90% confidence level shows “smart money” is getting behind the trend here. Unlike polling, the prediction market forces people to put capital at risk to express belief, which historically makes it a very accurate leading indicator of political and legislative outcomes. As the clock ticks down to the anticipated signing date of April 3, 2026, the market is already pricing the expected ease of regulations. For Ethereum, the main layer for smart…
Filed under: News - @ February 21, 2026 3:23 am