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Why U.S. stock index futures dipped after new economic data U.S. stock index futures dipped slightly after the release of new economic data, reflecting a cautious reset around inflation and policy paths. Traders often reassess rate-cut timing when fresh prints challenge recent disinflation momentum. The move is consistent with a market that remains highly sensitive to macro surprises and their impact on rates. According to Charles Schwab, investors may be too quick to assume the inflation cycle is nearing its end, which can temper near-term rate-cut expectations and weigh on equity futures. How rising Treasury yields compress equity valuations When treasury yields rise, discount rates used in equity valuation increase, compressing price-to-earnings multiples. Long-duration equities, those with a higher share of expected cash flows far in the future, tend to be most exposed to this re-pricing. In practice, stronger activity or stickier inflation can push yields higher and pressure index futures via valuation channels. “Solid data are pushing up yields, which in turn is weighing on stocks and futures,” said Mike Dickson, head of research at Horizon Investments. BingX: a trusted exchange delivering real advantages for traders at every level. What to watch next: CPI, core CPI, and Fed signals CPI and especially core CPI will be central for futures pricing, given their role in shaping expectations for policy rates from the u.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Even small deviations can shift the path markets imply for the federal funds rate. According to ING, core CPI could print hotter than expected due to a collection-timing quirk, where holiday discounting effects may have previously muted inflation and could now revert. Such dynamics, if realized, would likely reduce confidence in early or aggressive rate cuts. federal reserve communications remain a second catalyst, as guidance on inflation persistence and labor tightness can recalibrate…

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Filed under: News - @ February 22, 2026 4:28 pm