Prediction Markets Bet Bitcoin Will Drop Below $55K in 2026
The post Prediction Markets Bet Bitcoin Will Drop Below $55K in 2026 appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Bitcoin (BTC) may go as low as $55,000 in 2026 as the market lacks bullish catalysts amid macroeconomic uncertainties. Key takeaways: BTC price has a 65%-71% chance of dropping below $55,000 before Dec. 31, according to prediction markets. Bettors don’t expect Strategy to sell its BTC holdings in 2026. Whale selling and negative ETF flows add to Bitcoin’s sell-side pressure. Prediction markets see BTC bear market continuing The majority of traders on Polymarket and Kalshi expect Bitcoin to resume its downtrend throughout 2026, with targets as low as $40,000. Related: Bitcoin tests old 2021 top as gold falls to six-week lows under $4.7K As of Thursday, Polymarket bettors are pricing in about 71% odds of BTC dropping below $55,000 before Dec. 31, a 13% increase from the previous day. Traders set 59% odds of BTC crossing below the $50,000 psychological level and a 46% chance that it goes as low as $45,000 before the end of the year. Bitcoin prices target odds before Dec. 31. Source: Polymarket The lower price target forecasts for BTC mimic those elsewhere. On fellow prediction site Kalshi, traders set 71% odds of Bitcoin dropping below $60,000, with a 65% chance that it drops below $55,000. The lowest price target on Kalshi is $40,000, with a 31% possibility that BTC drops to this level before Dec. 31. How low will Bitcoin go in 2026? Source: Kalshi Bitcoin’s low for 2026 sits at $59,940, reached on Feb. 6, and the last time the BTC/USD pair traded below $55,000 was in February 2024. As Cointelegraph reported, some analysts believe that the long-term BTC price downtrend is still in play, warning that the rebound to $76,000 was a bull trap. Will Strategy sell Bitcoin in 2026? Bitcoin’s recent drop to $69,000 saw it slide below Strategy’s average BTC cost…
Filed under: News - @ March 20, 2026 6:29 am