a case that sparks debate
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Polymarket is once again in the spotlight after the final decision on Zelenskyy’s outfit, a controversy that has exposed the weaknesses of decentralized prediction platforms. In just over three months, more than 237 million dollars have been traded on this single prediction, confirming Polymarket’s leading role in the universe of predictive digital assets. The question about Zelenskyy’s outfit captures global attention on Polymarket For weeks, the prediction market has focused on a seemingly secondary question: would the Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy be photographed or filmed “in a suit” between March 22 and June 30? The question has sparked the interest of traders and observers, making this event one of the most lively of the season. The debate reached its peak during a NATO meeting in the Netherlands in June, where numerous journalistic sources described Zelenskyy as dressed in what was considered a classic black suit, collared shirt, and matching trousers. The decentralized oracle of UMA and the review of the decision The verification of outcomes on Polymarket depends on a decentralized oracle, managed by UMA, which must produce an answer based on objective evidence and consensus among credible sources. Initially, the oracle had determined that the answer was “Yes”: Zelenskyy indeed appeared with a look interpretable as a suit. However, a subsequent challenge led to a formal review, which concluded on Tuesday evening with a final verdict: “No”. The main reason? According to UMA, a lack of real consensus among authoritative sources. Despite videos and photographs circulated internationally, the oracle deemed that there was not sufficient evidence to define the clothing as a “dress” in the terms required by the bull market. Trader in revolt: accusations of inconsistency and manipulation The reaction of the community was not long in coming. Many authoritative voices from Polymarket accused the oracle of inconsistent…
Filed under: News - @ July 9, 2025 1:27 pm