Australian Dollar rises as Trump delays reciprocal tariffs
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The Australian Dollar appreciates as Trump postpones the implementation of reciprocal tariffs. The AUD may face headwinds as the RBA maintains its rate-cut stance following a fresh inflation outlook. The US Dollar weakens amid declining US yields, despite persistent concerns over a global trade war. The Australian Dollar (AUD) strengthens for the second consecutive day on Friday, driven by US President Donald Trump’s decision to postpone the implementation of reciprocal tariffs. Additionally, the AUD/USD pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) weakens amid falling US yields across the curve, despite ongoing concerns about a global trade war. Investors now await the release of US Retail Sales data later in the day. The AUD may face headwinds as expectations of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate cut remain intact following fresh inflation outlook data. Consumer inflation expectations climbed to 4.6% in February from 4.0% in January, reaching their highest level since April 2024. This comes ahead of the RBA’s first monetary policy meeting of the year next week, with market odds indicating a 95% probability of a rate cut to 4.10%, as recent data suggests underlying inflation is cooling faster than anticipated. The upside of the AUD/USD pair could be limited as strong US inflation data reinforces expectations of prolonged Federal Reserve (Fed) rate holds. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently reiterated that the central bank is in no rush to cut rates further, citing a resilient economy and persistently high inflation. Australian Dollar appreciates as US Dollar loses ground despite a hawkish Fed The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the US Dollar’s value against six major currencies, extends its losses and trades around 107.00 at the time of writing. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.0% year-over-year in January, exceeding expectations of 2.9%. The core CPI, which excludes food…
Filed under: News - @ February 14, 2025 2:15 am