After experiencing a brief correction from its new yearly high of $35,300, Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency in the market, is showing signs of renewed bullish momentum. 

As the digital asset approaches the $35,000 mark again, a key indicator is following patterns observed in 2020, suggesting a potential surge that could propel Bitcoin to reclaim its previous peak of $65,000. 

Scott Melker, a prominent crypto investor and host of the ‘Wolf of All Streets’ podcast, notes the significance of Bitcoin’s overbought Relative Strength Index (RSI) on both lower time frames and the weekly chart, hinting at a promising trajectory for the cryptocurrency’s price.

BTC’s 2020 RSI Flashback

Bitcoin’s RSI, a widely used technical indicator that measures the strength and speed of price movements, is currently flashing signs of extreme overbought conditions on various lower time frames. 

Notably, the daily RSI stands at 88, indicating a potential need for a healthy retracement. However, the weekly RSI garners attention as it has just entered the overbought zone, a range historically associated with substantial upward movements in a true bull market.

To gain insights into Bitcoin’s potential future trajectory, it is worth revisiting the patterns observed in 2020. 

According to Melker, during that year, Bitcoin’s RSI went overbought on the weekly chart when the cryptocurrency was trading around $12,000, as indicated by a small blue circle on the bottom left of the chart above. 

Subsequently, Bitcoin embarked on an unprecedented rally, surging to $65,000. This historical precedent highlights the possibility of a similar price action if true bullish catalysts emerge.

With Bitcoin’s weekly RSI entering the overbought territory once again, there is a growing sentiment among market observers that the cryptocurrency has ample room to run. 

Scott Melker emphasizes that if significant bullish catalysts materialize, Bitcoin’s potential for further upside becomes virtually limitless. The current RSI readings hint at the potential for an extended price rally, potentially enabling Bitcoin to surpass its current highs and reach the coveted $65,000 level.

Bitcoin Market Dynamics Shift As Key Indicators Surge

Adding to Melker’s bullish outlook for BTC, crypto analyst Miles Deutscher has stated on X (formerly Twitter) that the Bitcoin market landscape has witnessed a notable shift in recent days, leading to a significant uptick in bullish sentiment. 

In particular, volume and open interest in Bitcoin-related futures and options on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) have risen to multi-month and multi-year highs, indicating growing interest and participation from institutional investors.

Moreover, call options open interest has surpassed the peak levels seen during the 2021 bull run. In tandem with these developments, average crypto-related stocks have experienced a substantial uptick, and public funds have seen a massive influx of $43 million into Bitcoin, equivalent to 10% of the year-to-date inflows, all within a single day.

These metrics reflect increased trading activity and liquidity in the Bitcoin derivatives market, indicating heightened institutional interest. Such a surge in trading volume often precedes significant price movements, leading some analysts to anticipate a potential bullish breakout shortly.

Another encouraging sign for Bitcoin’s prospects lies in the call options open interest, which has recently surpassed $10 billion. To put this into context, during the peak of the 2021 bull run, call options open interest reached $9.9 billion. 

This milestone suggests that market participants are increasingly positioning themselves for a potential rise in Bitcoin’s price. The growing number of call options indicates a bullish sentiment among traders, further fueling expectations of a potential price surge.

As of the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $34,500, successfully reclaiming the level it briefly lost during a recent correction on Tuesday. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has maintained gains of 1.4%.

Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com 

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Filed under: Bitcoin - @ October 26, 2023 2:00 am