Bitcoin Flashes a Pattern Last Seen Before the 2022 Bear Market
The post Bitcoin Flashes a Pattern Last Seen Before the 2022 Bear Market appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Bitcoin Analysis Bitcoin’s recent price action is reviving an uncomfortable comparison that many traders remember all too well – the transition from the 2021 bull market into the 2022 bear market. While the market environment is different today, several technical signals are lining up in a way that feels familiar, especially on the weekly timeframe. Key takeaways Bitcoin’s weekly RSI behavior closely resembles early bear-market phases from previous cycles Two major corrections in 2025 followed a familiar divergence pattern seen in 2021 Current RSI levels suggest conditions for a potential swing bounce rather than a full reversal The $91k-$93k zone may act as a front-run bearish retest if higher levels are never reached At the center of the discussion is momentum. During the final stages of the 2021 bull cycle, Bitcoin printed two clear bearish RSI divergences in overbought territory. Each of those signals was followed by a deep correction of more than 50 percent before any meaningful trend reversal took shape. Those moves marked the start of a prolonged bearish phase rather than simple pullbacks. A similar rhythm has started to emerge in the current cycle. Bitcoin already experienced two notable drawdowns during 2025, first in Q1 and then again in Q3. While these declines were shallower than in 2021, they followed the same pattern of weakening momentum and failed attempts to reclaim previous highs. Importantly, both moves occurred after bearish RSI divergences had already formed. Weekly momentum now mirrors early bear-market behavior One of the most telling similarities lies in the weekly RSI behavior. In both 2021 and 2022, Bitcoin’s weekly RSI slipped below the 50 level after the second major correction. From there, price stabilized while RSI based out in the 30-40 range, eventually producing a counter-trend bounce before the broader bearish structure continued. As of early…
Filed under: News - @ January 11, 2026 2:30 pm