The post Bitcoin Isn’t Stuck at $100K, It’s Compressed: Why a Breakout Looms by February appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.

TLDR: Half of current dealer hedging pressure expires by early February, weakening $100K suppression mechanisms Bitcoin ETF inflows maintain $1.2 billion weekly while spot prices trade 24% below power-law trend values Rolling hedges forward compounds costs over time, making sustained price suppression economically unsustainable Stored volatility in options structures awaits release as hedge concentration weakens through January expirations   Bitcoin appears compressed rather than stuck below $100,000, with mathematical analysis pointing toward an imminent breakout above the psychological barrier.  Market trader David argues that current price action reflects temporary dealer hedging mechanics creating artificial resistance that cannot persist beyond early February.  Exchange-traded fund inflows continue accelerating while spot prices trade at substantial discounts to trend values, suggesting stored volatility awaits release as options structures expire. Compression Mechanics Point Toward February Release The current market structure functions like a coiled spring between $94,000 and $98,000, with dealer hedging creating downward pressure at the $100,000 threshold.  Price amplification exists below this level while suppression mechanisms activate above it. This creates what market observer David, posting on X , characterizes as a temporary ceiling rather than permanent resistance. BITCOIN ISN’T STUCK, IT’S BEING HELD DOWN, AND THE MATH SAYS THE HEDGERS CAN’T DO THIS FOREVER The market is mispricing one thing: It’s treating temporary options mechanics as permanent resistance. Here’s the math 1 The structureBetween ~$94k and ~$98k, dealer hedging… pic.twitter.com/PcI31j9iGz — David (@david_eng_mba) January 8, 2026 The compression has an expiration schedule built into its foundation. Approximately 13 percent of gamma exposure disappears by January 16, removing initial pressure points.  Another 38 percent rolls off by January 30, substantially weakening the hedging structure. By early February, half of current options-related suppression will have expired entirely. This timeline matters because hedging effectiveness depends on concentration and proximity to expiration. As January progresses, the…

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Filed under: News - @ January 9, 2026 12:27 am