The post Bitcoin’s fractal says $45K by 2026, but the charts aren’t buying it! appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.

Bitcoin is in the middle of one of its deepest corrections in recent history right now. The world’s largest cryptocurrency has fallen from an ATH of $126,000 to below $100,000 – A threshold it first crossed roughly a year ago. Valued at close to $87k at press time, the market sentiment has remained fragile lately, with multiple indicators hinting at further downside risk on the charts. Fractal pattern points to deeper decline According to the Bitcoin Repeating Cycle indicator that has historically tracked the asset’s bullish and bearish phases with notable accuracy, Bitcoin has finally entered bearish territory. The pattern correctly identified the 10 October market peak and its subsequent decline. Based on this analysis, the bearish phase could extend until 16 October, 2026. Source: Alphractal According to João Wedson, the fractal model projects a potential bottom between $40,000 and $45,000. However, he cautioned, “This is not a fixed rule, nor a deterministic price forecast. It represents a fractal rhyme of market cycles—something Bitcoin has historically respected more often than ignored.” The likelihood of such a decline remains hotly debated though. In fact, several analysts contend that Bitcoin’s four-year cycle—long considered a driver of major market swings—has weakened considerably or disappeared entirely. Historical context – Minor correction or major cycle? Bitcoin’s [BTC] prevailing movement tracks closely with the 2021 cycle based on the four-year pattern. However, historical data also highlighted an important distinction. Throughout Bitcoin’s history, minor corrective phases have typically remained within a 35% decline range. The 2021 bear market was different though. Especially since it represented a major cycle correction that ultimately shed 77% from Bitcoin’s $69,000-peak. Source: TradingView Bitcoin’s current 32% retracement from $126,000 falls within the typical range of these minor corrections. This means the decline may be nearing its natural bottom. However, if the fractal…

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Filed under: News - @ December 27, 2025 3:11 pm