Bitcoin’s price swings aren’t random and Japan is proving it
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Japanese researchers say they have identified early warning signs of crypto price fluctuations by using AI to analyze blockchain transaction networks rather than traditional market data. Bitcoin’s volatile price swings have been blamed on a combination of hype, monetary policy, and the notorious four-year ‘halving’ schedule. But a group of academics and analysts in Japan believe they’ve figured out how to detect the signs within blockchain infrastructure before prices plummet. It’s a finding that could reshape how regulators, crypto exchanges, and investors think about risk in a market characterized by extreme volatility. Japanese companies expand bitcoin treasuries In Japan, bitcoin is creeping into corporate investment portfolios and now serves as a long term asset. The publicly listed trading house ANAP went on a bitcoin shopping spree on December 24 and 25, purchasing 109.3551 BTC valued at 1.5 billion JPY ($10 million). It’s been actively promoting crypto assets as a credible business strategy. The purchase brings ANAP Holding’s total bitcoin holdings to 1,346.5856, worth approximately $85 million. “Many companies will see the benefits of holding Bitcoin three to five years from now, and by then, it may already be too late. That’s why we encourage companies to start preparing now,” said ANAP CEO Rintao Kawai at the recent Bitcoin Tokyo Conference. The publicly listed Metaplanet has also become one of Japan’s largest corporate holders of crypto. It has scaled back its original real estate and retail business to focus solely on accumulating bitcoin. It currently holds approximately 30,823 BTC on its balance sheet. The signs are on the blockchain The rise of corporate bitcoin holdings in Japan has turned attention to whether price swings can be anticipated before they strike. In a new study, researchers in Japan say they’ve found evidence that subtle but measurable changes in blockchain transaction networks set the scene…
Filed under: News - @ December 27, 2025 9:22 am