China to outline 2025 economic targets amid uncertainty over Trumpian trade war
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China is set to reveal its economic targets for 2025, following the rising economic uncertainty supposedly caused by trade war threats from US President Donald Trump. The annual meeting of the National People’s Congress (NPC) will begin on March 5 in Beijing, where Premier Li Qiang will deliver the Government Work Report. According to a Tuesday Bloomberg update, the closely watched document will list the Asian country’s economic goals, including targets for GDP growth, inflation, employment, and the fiscal deficit. Economists expect the Chinese government to focus on strengthening domestic demand, expanding social support measures, and ensuring stability in the labor market. Yet, Beijing’s economic roadmap may soon be overshadowed by a wave of US trade sanctions, with multiple investigations into China’s trade practices set to reach Trump’s desk on April 1. Beijing economic goals predictions for 2025 China’s inflation data, which came out before the NPC meeting, shows that the consumer price index rose from 0.1% in Dec to 0.5% in Jan 2025. This was higher than the 0.4% that the market had expected. Food prices, which had been in decline at the end of 2024, rebounded in January, with pork prices rising 13.8% year-over-year and fresh vegetables seeing a 2.4% increase. Increases in healthcare, education, and housing costs caused non-food commodities to rise. China’s economic policymakers are expected to set a GDP growth target of around 5%, though some analysts anticipate a range of 4.5% to 5%. Inflation targets are also likely to be revised, with economists from Citigroup predicting that the consumer price index (CPI) goal will be lowered from 3% to 2%. Fiscal policy is forecasted to take a more expansionary approach, with HSBC economists forecasting a broad-based fiscal deficit of 9.1% of GDP, an increase that exudes a more aggressive stimulus plan. In the labor…
Filed under: News - @ February 25, 2025 7:19 pm