Data suggests $100,000 could be the current accumulation range for Bitcoin traders.
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Key takeaways: Bitcoin’s monthly outflow/inflow ratio has dropped to 0.9, signaling renewed long-term confidence and accumulation. Despite aggressive short-side pressure on Binance derivatives, BTC has remained in a tight range between $100,000 and $110,000. Over 19,400 BTC were moved into institutional wallets, indicating strategic positioning by long-term holders. After breaking above the $100,000 level on May 8, Bitcoin (BTC) price has closed every day above the psychological level. While BTC posted a lower range deviation to $98,300 on June 22, the crypto asset remains close to new highs above $111,800. Bitcoin one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView While a drop to $100,000 is only a 9% correction, one metric indicates that the price range between $100,000 and $110,000 could be the new bottom range before BTC undergoes another parabolic leg in the second half of 2025. Data from CryptoQuant indicated that market activity is pointing toward renewed long-term confidence, with onchain data showing a significant dominance of outflows over inflows. The monthly outflow/inflow ratio has fallen to 0.9, a level not seen since the end of the bear market in 2022 and one that historically signals strong demand. Bitcoin Exchange Inflow/Outflow ratio over 30 days. Source: CryptoQuant This ratio, which measures the balance between coins moving out of and into exchanges, acts as a sentiment gauge. A reading below one indicates that investors move assets off exchanges, typically reflecting accumulation behavior. In contrast, values above 1.05 have previously coincided with increased sell pressure and local market tops. Notably, this latest drop mirrors the levels seen in December 2022, marking Bitcoin’s macro bottom near $15,500. That inflection point preceded a sustained multimonth rally, supporting the thesis that a low ratio often precedes a price reversal. The current dominance of outflows and rising long-term holder participation offers a compelling case for a structural bottom forming.…
Filed under: News - @ July 9, 2025 3:26 pm