Economist says Fed it’s ‘way too late’ to rescue economy, warns largest crash next
The post Economist says Fed it’s ‘way too late’ to rescue economy, warns largest crash next appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
With uncertainty regarding the United States economy’s next trajectory, an expert has warned that the Federal Reserve’s intervention might not be sufficient. Particularly, macroeconomist Henrik Zeberg, in an X post on July 3, warned that the Fed’s response to the ‘slowing economy’ is significantly delayed, setting the stage for the largest economic crash since 1929. Zeberg highlighted his concerns about the Federal Reserve’s focus on inflation, which he argues is a lagging indicator in the business cycle. The expert predicted that the Federal Reserve’s eventual infusion of liquidity will temporarily send the market into a blow-off top—a sharp and unsustainable rally—before a significant recession sets in during the fourth quarter of 2024. “Fed will come to the rescue – but they are already way too late. Geniuses are looking at “inflation”, which is a lagging indicator in the Business Cycle. . Largest Crash since 1929 ahead!,” he said. Non-manufacturing new orders indices indicator Notably, Zeberg based his projection on the United States non-manufacturing new orders indices, which reveal a pattern that precedes significant market downturns. This highlights similarities between past economic crashes and current trends. US non-manufacturing new orders indices chart. Source: TradingView/Henrik Zeberg Data shared by the analyst identified periods preceding significant crashes, followed by sharp declines. These pre-crash phases are characterized by dropping new order indices, indicating a slowdown in economic activity. In the present context, the data shows a similar emergence of a pre-crash pattern. The indices have been trending downward, indicating a slowdown in new orders in both manufacturing and non-manufacturing. This aligns with Zeberg’s prediction that the economy is already decelerating. Notably, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) during previous pre-crash periods dipped below 50, signaling weakening momentum. Currently, the RSI is again hovering around the same critical level, suggesting that market momentum is waning. Markets…
Filed under: News - @ July 4, 2024 10:22 am