The post Ethereum’s spot ETFs will trigger a dip, not a rally appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.

Benjamin Cowen, the founder of Into The Cryptoverse, thinks Ethereum’s upcoming spot ETFs won’t spark a rally. Instead, they’re likely to cause a dip. Why? Because of Ethereum’s supply issues. Source: Benjamin Cowen Since April, the supply of Ethereum has been increasing by about 60,000 ETH each month. If this continues, by December, the supply will be back to what it was during the Merge in September 2022. In Benjamin’s words:  “If the supply of ETH keeps increasing by ~60k/month like it has been since April, then by Dec the supply will be back to what it was at the merge.” Over the last 30 days, the supply of ETH has gone up by nearly 60,000 ETH. In April 2024, the supply had decreased by about 455,000 ETH since the Merge. But in just three months, it has increased by around 150,000 ETH. Source: Benjamin Cowen Currently, the supply is down by 298,000 ETH since the Merge. But at this rate, it will revert soon. Benjamin pointed out that people might focus on this narrative later this year instead of monetary policy. He said:  “Could be a narrative that people focus on later this year, when they should actually focus on monetary policy.” In 2016, there was a fakeout below the lows in Q2, followed by a real capitulation in Q4 during the Bitcoin halving year. Benjamin suggests that we might see a similar pattern this year. If Ethereum follows the 2016 pattern, the final capitulation might not start until September 2024. This timeline could coincide with the novelty of the spot ETF wearing off. Another critical point is the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. During the last cycle, ETH/BTC broke support the same month the Fed cut rates. This September, the Fed is likely to cut rates again, just like…

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Filed under: News - @ July 20, 2024 5:26 pm