TLDR

A bear flag pattern breakdown projects further declines of up to 28%, targeting the $0.068 zone.
Buying interest has collapsed drastically, with exchange net outflows shrinking from 4 million to just 300,000 HBAR.
Social sentiment has plummeted by 98%, a level of extreme disinterest that has historically preceded relief bounces.

The Hedera ecosystem is at a critical juncture after confirming a worrying technical structure. The token has lost 26% over the past month, but the 4-hour chart analysis is most concerning: it shows a completed bear flag breakdown. This continuation pattern suggests that the HBAR bearish trend is far from over, with technical targets that could drag the price to levels not seen since October 2024.

Confirmation below the $0.109 level has left the asset without immediate solid support. Unlike previous corrections, exchange flow data reveals that investors are not “buying the dip.” Buying pressure has evaporated, shifting from significant accumulation in early December to near-total apathy today.

Social Sentiment as a Last Resort Against Selling Pressure

Despite the grim scenario, there is an outlier data point that traders are watching closely. HBAR’s positive social sentiment has plummeted from a peak of 76.97 to just 1.62. While this reflects massive disinterest, in cryptocurrency markets, extreme negativity often acts as a contrarian indicator. In the past, such low levels of enthusiasm have triggered brief relief rallies of between 12% and 14%.

However, for the HBAR bearish trend to truly reverse, sentiment exhaustion is not enough. The price urgently needs to reclaim the $0.155 zone to invalidate the current negative momentum. As long as the asset remains below its key resistance levels and buying volume remains absent, the risk of visiting the $0.068 support remains active.

In summary, HBAR faces a perfect storm of technical weakness and a lack of institutional demand. Only an unexpected reaction to the market’s extreme pessimism could offer a temporary pause in this corrective cycle.

---

Filed under: News - @ December 24, 2025 3:27 pm