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Spencer Platt | Getty Images Inflation held steady in July as price declines for staples like groceries and gasoline helped offset price increases for consumers. However, there were worrying signs under the surface, including evidence that Trump administration policies are stoking inflation for certain goods and services, economists said. Those effects will likely become more pronounced later this year, they said. “Tariff and immigration policy fingerprints are all over the report,” Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s, said. “The tariff and immigration effects aren’t screaming at us, but they’re certainly speaking very loudly and over the next couple months they’ll start yelling,” Zandi said. The consumer price index rose 2.7% in July relative to a year earlier, unchanged from the prior month and less than expected, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. CPI is a widely used measure of inflation that tracks how quickly prices rise or fall for a basket of goods and services, from haircuts to coffee, clothing and concert tickets. In July, grocery and gasoline prices declined — or, deflated — by a respective 0.1% and 2.2% on a monthly basis from June, according to CPI data. Economists like to look at inflation data that strips out energy and food prices, which can be volatile from month to month. This so-called “core” CPI figure has been rising in recent months: It rose 3.1% in July 2025 from July 2024. That’s up from a 2.9% annual pace in June and is the fastest annual rate for core CPI since February. “[W]e expect it will rise further to a peak of 3.8% by the end of the year as tariffs bleed through more fully to consumer prices,” Michael Pearce, deputy chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, wrote Tuesday. Inflation most evident for consumer goods Tariffs are a tax…

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Filed under: News - @ August 12, 2025 3:28 pm