Here’s When Bitcoin’s Bull Run Could End, Based on Historical Cycles
The post Here’s When Bitcoin’s Bull Run Could End, Based on Historical Cycles appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Bitcoin Bitcoin’s next grand rally may already have an expiration date. Key Takeaways Analyst Benjamin Cowen expects Bitcoin to peak in late 2025, echoing past election-year cycles. Bitcoin dominance near 66% signals consolidation and a maturing rally. Ethereum and Solana may continue higher into 2025 before correcting in 2026. Federal Reserve policy could dictate when the next bull phase returns after the downturn. According to Benjamin Cowen, a prominent crypto market analyst, the world’s largest digital asset could reach its cycle peak toward the end of 2025 before cooling off dramatically the following year. Cowen’s reasoning rests on more than gut feeling — he argues that Bitcoin’s history moves to a four-year rhythm that has rarely failed. Peaks, he noted, have a habit of showing up after U.S. presidential elections, with major highs recorded in 2013, 2017, and 2021. If that rhythm persists, 2025 would mark the next act in Bitcoin’s long-running performance. “The midterm year that follows tends to bring a reset,” Cowen explained, pointing to 2014, 2018, and 2022 as textbook post-peak periods when the market retreated to build fresh foundations. Signals Hint at an Aging Rally While price action remains strong, Cowen believes subtle indicators are flashing warnings. The Bitcoin dominance index — tracking Bitcoin’s share of total crypto market value — has risen to around 66%, signaling that money is clustering around safety rather than risk. Historically, that has been the market’s way of preparing for thinner liquidity. He also referenced the 50-week moving average, hovering near $100,000, as a key structural point. A fall below that line, he said, would likely confirm that the bull phase is ending. “Dominance rising, momentum slowing — those are early signs that exuberance is cooling off,” he noted. Quiet Hype, Slower Cycles This time, however, the speculative mania that…
Filed under: News - @ November 9, 2025 6:20 am