‘Hundreds of simulations’ pin Bitcoin at 50% odds of $140K this month: Why This Prediction Makes the Digitap ($TAP) Best 2025 Presale
The post ‘Hundreds of simulations’ pin Bitcoin at 50% odds of $140K this month: Why This Prediction Makes the Digitap ($TAP) Best 2025 Presale appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Economist Timothy Peterson believes there’s a real possibility that Bitcoin could climb past $140,000 this month. His latest research, based on hundreds of simulations covering more than a decade of market data, puts the odds at roughly 50–50. After hitting a record high of $126,200, Bitcoin has now settled around $122,000, showing the kind of pause that often follows a breakout run. Seasoned investors know the pattern – when Bitcoin breaks new ATHs, small-cap altcoins like Digitap ($TAP) typically deliver the most explosive returns. Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025 — What Data Shows Now Peterson’s analysis runs hundreds of simulations based on Bitcoin’s daily returns since 2015, replicating real-world volatility patterns to estimate end-of-month outcomes. The results suggest a 50% probability of Bitcoin closing October above $140,000, and a 43% chance of finishing below $136,000. This data-driven outlook arrives in a seasonally strong period for crypto: October has been Bitcoin’s second-best month on average since 2013, producing mean gains of 20.75%. From Bitcoin’s current price of roughly $122,000, only a 14.7% increase would be needed to hit that milestone. The simulations strip away emotional bias, focusing solely on the price dynamics that have defined Bitcoin’s decade-long market behavior. Bitcoin Leads, but History Says Altcoins Deliver Bigger Gains Markets aren’t random in the short term, especially around institutional rebalancing cycles. October often is the pivot point for crypto — the end of Q3 reporting and the start of fiscal-year planning — when professional money typically re-enters risk assets. The data supports this: combined spot and derivatives trading volume on centralized exchanges rose 7.58% in August to $9.72 trillion, the highest monthly total of 2025. What makes this moment more compelling is how past bull markets have unfolded. In 2017, when Bitcoin passed $10,000, Ethereum jumped 9x, Cardano rose 14x, and XRP gained…
Filed under: News - @ October 11, 2025 5:28 pm