The post Iran War Rocks Global Markets: What It Means for Stocks, Bitcoin, Gold and the Economy appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.

TLDR: Bitcoin dropped to $63K within minutes of the Iran War breaking out, triggering over $515M in crypto liquidations. Gold surged past $5,200 as the Iran War intensified, with Bank of America forecasting a $6,000 per ounce target. The Strait of Hormuz carries 20% of global oil daily, and tankers are already halting movement amid the Iran War. Recession probability jumped from 25–30% to 40–50% as the Iran War threatens sustained disruption to global oil supply. The Iran War has triggered an immediate financial shockwave across every major asset class. Open military conflict between the U.S., Israel, and Iran erupted on February 28, following explosions across Tehran, southern Lebanon, and near U.S. military bases. President Trump declared “major combat operations” under Operation Epic Fury. Iran responded with missile strikes on Israeli and U.S. Gulf bases. Investors across every market are now reassessing their positions as the situation continues to evolve hour by hour. Stock Markets Face a Historic Test as War Escalates The Iran War arrived at an already fragile moment for equities. The S&P 500 had turned negative for 2026 before the first strike even landed. Bank of America held the most bearish S&P 500 outlook heading into the conflict, with a year-end target of just 7,100. Historical data, however, offers a counterpoint worth noting. CFA Institute data shows U.S. large-cap stocks returned 11.9% annualized during wartime versus 10.0% during peacetime periods. Across six major conflicts, the pattern has remained consistent — markets sell off before the war begins, then recover shortly after it starts. The critical difference this time is oil. None of those previous wars directly threatened a supply corridor handling 20% of global crude. If the Strait of Hormuz faces prolonged disruption, the historical “buy the war” playbook may not hold. Recession probability has already shifted…

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Filed under: News - @ February 28, 2026 9:06 pm