Iran’s Top Power Broker Shares Trading Advice As Trump’s TACO Trade Falters
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Iran’s Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf posted what amounted to trading advice on X (Twitter), calling Trump’s pre-market announcements a “reverse indicator” and urging followers to take the opposite side of every energy move. The post added a surreal layer to a week that saw Wall Street’s most popular dip-buying strategy collapse under the weight of real geopolitical risk. The TACO Trade Hits a Wall The Trump Always Chickens Out (TACO) trade defined market behavior for much of 2025. Traders bought every Trump-induced dip, expecting a reversal within days. That playbook worked reliably during tariff standoffs with China, Canada, and the EU. However, it broke down last week. Trump extended his deadline to strike Iranian energy infrastructure from March 27 to April 6. The expected relief rally never came. Some observations: The TACO trade is dead. The algos rigged up to that are being killed. The market no longer believes Trump’s lies. You are starting to see real world stories across Asia and Australia about oil shortages, fuel rationing, and shutdowns, which is adding to the… — Aylo (@alpha_pls) March 27, 2026 Barclays strategist Emmanuel Cau noted that repeated flip-flopping was undermining market confidence. Investors stopped treating delays as a path to peace. They began seeing them as tactical pauses before further escalation. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker slashed Q1 growth estimates to 2%, down from 3.1% just a month earlier. Meanwhile, CME FedWatch data shows markets pricing in rates holding steady through late 2026, with only a modest probability of any move. Fed Fund Futures. Source: CME FedWatch Tool This represents a far cry from the multiple rate cuts investors expected at the start of the year. Ghalibaf and the Bond Market Warning Ghalibaf, a former Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) commander who has emerged as Iran’s most visible…
Filed under: News - @ March 29, 2026 9:47 pm