Is Bitcoin Overtaking US Treasuries? Analyzing the Shift in Investor Behavior
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Andre Dragosch, Head of Research at Bitwise in Europe, has pointed out that Bitcoin’s 60-day correlation with US 10-Year Treasury Futures has fallen to its lowest level ever. This historical decoupling could signal a growing shift in investor behaviour, possibly indicating increased interest in Bitcoin over traditional bonds. Curious? Dive in! Bitcoin’s Correlation with US 10-Year Treasury Futures Explained Correlation shows how two assets move in relation to each other. A higher correlation means they move together, while a low or negative correlation implies they move in opposite directions. 🚨ATTENTION: This is probably the most important macro chart for #bitcoin right now. Bitcoin’s 60-day correlation to US 10yr Treasury Futures has declined to the lowest level ON RECORD. Are traditional investors selling US Treasuries to buy bitcoin? pic.twitter.com/QKR8YgcyPP — André Dragosch, PhD⚡ (@Andre_Dragosch) May 29, 2025 Highlighting a chart titled “Rolling Correlation: 10-Year UST Futures”, Dragosch has revealed that the 60-day correlation between Bitcoin and the US 10-Year Treasury Futures has plummeted to its lowest level ever recorded. The revelation has triggered a serious discussion on ‘are traditional investors selling US Treasuries to buy Bitcoin?’ US 10-Year Treasury Yield: A Simple Analysis At the start of April, the US 10-Year Bond Yield was 4.213%. Though at a point on April 4, it slipped as low as 3.859%, between April 7 and 11, it climbed steeply by 15.44%. On April 11, it hit the month’s peak of 4.590%. After hitting the peak, the market witnessed two minor corrections that month: a 4.48% correction b/w April 14 and 16 and a 4.34% correction b/w April 24 and 29. In the early half of this month, the US 10-Year Bond Yield saw a steady rise. Between May 1 and 21, it surged by 9.99%. At one point on May 22, it reached a…
Filed under: News - @ May 30, 2025 9:22 am