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Japan’s longtime ruling party has lost its majority for the first time in 15 years at Sunday’s national election, prompting concerns about the world’s fourth-largest economy and the uncertainty over the make-up of the next government, per Reuters.  According to NHK, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party and its coalition partner Komeito won just 215 of the lower house’s 465 seats, falling short of the 233 required for a majority. The main opposition, the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ) won 148 seats, a significant increase from 98.   Market reaction  The USD/JPY pair is trading 0.55% higher on the day at 153.13, as of writing. Japanese Yen FAQs The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world’s most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan’s policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors. One of the Bank of Japan’s mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen. Over the last decade, the BoJ’s stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which…

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Filed under: News - @ October 28, 2024 12:43 am