JPMorgan: Bitcoin Price Could Reach $165,000, Showing Strong Upside
TLDR
JPMorgan predicts Bitcoin could rise to $165,000, highlighting its current undervaluation compared to gold.
The bank notes that Bitcoin’s volatility relative to gold has dropped below 2.0, making it more attractive to investors.
Bitcoin’s market capitalization is expected to grow by $1 trillion, reaching a valuation of $3.3 trillion.
Bitcoin now consumes only 1.85 times more risk capital than gold, signaling a more favorable investment profile.
U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $675.8 million in daily inflows, demonstrating growing institutional interest in Bitcoin.
JPMorgan analysts predict that Bitcoin price is undervalued compared to gold and could rise to $165,000. The bank notes that Bitcoin’s volatility relative to gold has dropped below 2.0. This reduction in volatility makes Bitcoin increasingly attractive to investors seeking stability.
JPMorgan’s analysis suggests that Bitcoin’s current market capitalization of $2.3 trillion could grow by $1 trillion. With this growth, Bitcoin’s valuation could reach $3.3 trillion, aligning its price with $165,000. The analysis suggests that Bitcoin’s fair value should be significantly higher, particularly as gold prices rise.
The bank also observed that Bitcoin’s price remains about 34.5% below its projected fair value of $160,000. This discrepancy underscores the potential for significant growth in Bitcoin’s market price. JPMorgan’s analysis aligns Bitcoin’s value with the $6 trillion invested in gold, indicating a fair value target.
Bitcoin’s Risk Capital Comparisons to Gold
JPMorgan’s report emphasizes Bitcoin’s lower risk capital consumption compared to gold. Analysts reveal that Bitcoin now consumes only 1.85 times as much risk capital as gold. This shift suggests that Bitcoin’s financial profile is more attractive to investors.
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Bitcoin’s risk-adjusted value has become more comparable to that of gold, even as the Bitcoin market continues to evolve. JPMorgan suggests that Bitcoin could see a market capitalization of $3.3 trillion based on this comparison. This change reflects growing investor confidence in Bitcoin, particularly due to its decreasing volatility.
The current strength of Bitcoin ETFs further supports Bitcoin’s potential growth. The report highlights the $675.8 million in daily inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs. This influx of capital brings Bitcoin closer to achieving its projected market cap of $3.3 trillion.
JPMorgan’s Bullish Sentiment on Bitcoin’s Future
JPMorgan analysts remain bullish about Bitcoin’s future, projecting that it could reach $165,000 in the coming months. The bank draws attention to the increasing institutional interest in Bitcoin, including large inflows into Bitcoin-backed ETFs. The trend suggests that Bitcoin’s financial footprint is comparable to that of gold-backed funds.
Analysts also note that the valuation gap between Bitcoin and its fair value has reached historic lows. JPMorgan points out that this presents a significant upside for Bitcoin, as it moves closer to aligning with gold’s market value. Major financial institutions such as Citigroup share similar bullish predictions, with Bitcoin potentially reaching $231,000 in 12 months.
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Filed under: Bitcoin - @ October 2, 2025 9:26 pm