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Key Points: Market shifts after Trump’s hint on Fed chair selection. Kevin Warsh’s odds soar to 60% as next Fed Chair. Judicial probe into Fed HQ renovation influences discussion. Kevin Hassett’s probable withdrawal from the Fed chair race has shifted market expectations, positioning Kevin Warsh as the leading candidate, with results affecting the prediction markets significantly. With Trump’s decision imminent, the potential appointment of a new Fed chair could influence future monetary policy, affecting market participation and economic stability amid ongoing concerns over Fed independence. Trump’s Influence Boosts Warsh’s Fed Chair Chances The significant shift has been observed in prediction markets, with Warsh’s likelihood soaring from 44% to 60% following the announcement. Additionally, Kevin Hassett’s odds plummeted to 15%-16%. Such changes reflect confidence in Warsh assuming the leadership position at the Federal Reserve, given his prior experience as a Fed Governor from 2006 to 2011. Statements from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and the ongoing judicial investigation into the Federal Reserve headquarters renovation underscore the intrigue surrounding the decision. Market reactions demonstrate a belief in Warsh’s approach, with Treasury yields increasing and emphasizing expectations of less dovish monetary policies under his leadership. Bessent has publicly minimized the impact of the investigation on the Fed’s autonomy, suggesting stability in market performance. Only the president knows on frontrunner, decision could come in days/weeks; Senate expected to confirm nominee. — Scott Bessent, Treasury Secretary said in a statement. Market Dynamics and Bitcoin Price Trends Did you know? The 60% probability for Kevin Warsh is the highest seen for a candidate thus far in this appointment race, showcasing the market’s response to strategic political signals. Bitcoin (BTC) now stands at $92,714.52, with a market cap of $1.85 trillion according to CoinMarketCap. Trading volume surged by 43.93% to $23.04 billion in the last 24 hours, highlighting…

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Filed under: News - @ January 19, 2026 12:11 am