The post New Bitcoin Cycle Top Model Suggests Key Dates Ahead appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.

Bitcoin A new market timing model may help pinpoint the next Bitcoin cycle top, according to crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO. Drawing inspiration from analyst Benjamin Cowen, the model links Bitcoin’s previous all-time highs (ATHs) with the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) to forecast macro turning points. The concept relies on observing where the 200-week SMA intersects with historical ATH levels. EGRAG notes that in multiple cycles, these intersections have closely aligned with Bitcoin’s macro tops. Pattern Repeats Across Multiple BTC Cycles In Cycle A, the model predicted the top with notable precision—marking the cycle peak right where the SMA and ATH intersected. Cycle B followed a similar path, with the projected top almost perfectly matching the actual market high. In Cycle C, the top arrived 42 days later than the projection, showing that while the pattern holds promise, it isn’t immune to volatility or timing deviations. Next Cycle Top? Two Dates Stand Out Looking forward, EGRAG projects that extending the 200-week SMA forward points to two potential Bitcoin cycle tops with geometrical significance: September 2025 March 2026 He warns that using long-term averages in highly volatile markets carries risk, but the historical alignment of this pattern deserves attention. Just a Framework, Not a Forecast EGRAG stresses that these are projections, not certainties. “Take it or leave it,” he says, emphasizing that the real answers will come with time. Still, this model offers a fresh way to think about Bitcoin’s cycle timing—and adds new context to discussions about when the next top could form. Author Kosta Gushterov Reporter at Coindoo Kosta has been a part of the team since 2021 and has solidified his position with a thirst for knowledge, incredible dedication to his work and a “detective-like” mindset. He not only covers a wide range of trending topics, he also…

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Filed under: News - @ June 12, 2025 8:28 pm