The post Quantum Computing Could Affect Bitcoin’s Long-Term Value appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.

Key Highlights: Charles Edwards suggests investors may already be pricing a “quantum discount,” valuing Bitcoin about 20% below fair value due to the future risk of “Q-Day”. The concern focuses on elliptic curve cryptography, which could be broken by advanced quantum machines within the next decade, prompting forward-looking market adjustments. Without timely quantum-resistant upgrades, the discount on Bitcoin’s valuation could widen further, as investors factor in rising probabilities of large-scale cryptographic disruption. Quantum computing has quickly become one of the threats to Bitcoin’s long-term value. A recent analysis shared by Charles Edwards, founder of Bitcoin and digital asset quant fund Capriole Investments, reveals that the market may already be pricing in a discount linked to the future threat posed by advanced quantum machines. According to Edwards’ analysis, rational investors could be valuing Bitcoin roughly 20% below its fair value today due to what he calls the statistical probability of “Q-Day,” the moment when quantum computers become capable of breaking the cryptography that secures the network. Quantum Computing : A Threat to Bitcoin’s Future? The concern focuses on elliptic curve cryptography, which lies at the base of Bitcoin’s wallet security and transaction signatures. Current projections show that within the next decade, quantum systems may reach the level required to break this encryption. Research cited in the report indicates that the probability of this happening could reach 60% by 2030 and 80% by 2031. These estimates are based on rapid advances in qubit development, with  quantum firms reportedly doubling capacity every 18 months. Edwards argues that markets are forward looking. As a result, investors are already factoring this risk into current prices. The report introduces what it calls a “Quantum Discount Factor,” which adjusts Bitcoin’s fair value based on the likelihood that quantum threats emerge before the network upgrades its cryptography. The…

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Filed under: News - @ February 20, 2026 2:29 pm