This Bitcoin Price Cycle Data Reveals Next Major Bull Run
The post This Bitcoin Price Cycle Data Reveals Next Major Bull Run appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
The bitcoin price is at a very interesting point in its current market cycle. With lots of different opinions and not much movement in price, it’s hard to know what’s coming next. But when we look at the important data, things get a lot clearer. These signals don’t just tell us what might happen in the immediate future, but can clarify what the coming weeks and months could bring. The Short-Term Holder Realized Price and Bitcoin Price Support We begin with the Short-Term Holder Realized Price, effectively the average cost basis for new market participants. This level has historically acted as a dynamic zone of support and resistance throughout each cycle. At present, the STH realized price sits around $113,000, close to where Bitcoin is currently trading. Despite the sharp liquidation event earlier this month, the market has rebounded and stabilized around this level. Figure 1: Short-Term Holder Realized Price signals structural support for market confidence. View Live Chart When Bitcoin holds above the short-term holder realized price, it signals that the average recent buyer is either at breakeven or in slight profit. This often increases investor confidence and encourages additional capital rotation into the market. In past cycles, such as in 2017, every retest of this line provided an ideal accumulation opportunity before the next leg higher. Maintaining support above this could once again mark the foundation for the next phase of the bull cycle. Understanding The MVRV Ratio and Bitcoin Price Valuation Beyond the realized price itself, we turn to the Short-Term Holder Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio, which measures the relationship between Bitcoin’s current market price and its aggregate realized price. This ratio helps identify over- or undervalued conditions. Across prior cycles, clear patterns emerge, with Bitcoin consistently finding support around the 0.66 level during…
Filed under: News - @ November 3, 2025 2:29 pm