A major catalyst behind this renewed interest has been Telegram’s recent crackdown on illegal activity within its platform, which has had a noticeable influence on TON’s price movement.

Telegram’s Cleanup Boosts Confidence in Toncoin

Telegram’s decision to shut down two prominent black markets—Xinbi Guarantee and Huione Guarantee—marked a major step in cleaning up its ecosystem. These digital marketplaces had reportedly handled over $35 billion in transactions since 2021, often linked to fraud and money laundering schemes. Their removal is being viewed as a critical step in restoring trust and order on the platform.

Elliptic’s research prompted Telegram to shut down two major illicit marketplaces tied to $35B in crypto-related crime. Source: Elliptic via X

Given TON’s close relationship with Telegram, the move appears to have positively affected investor sentiment around the coin. Many now see this as a turning point that could attract a more legitimate user base to the TON blockchain, potentially driving up Toncoin demand and stabilizing its recovery.

Toncoin Price Analysis: A Breakout on the Horizon?

From a technical perspective, Toncoin has shown signs of strength. After dipping into the $3.00–$3.05 demand zone, TON has managed to climb back to around $3.15. On the charts, a symmetrical triangle pattern has emerged—a formation that often precedes major price movements.

Toncoin (TON) eyes a potential breakout above $4.2 for further gains following the ongoing bullish trend. Source: Wolffxtrader on TradingView

Well-known crypto analyst Ali recently pointed out that a breakout from this setup could push TON up by as much as 47%, potentially taking the price into the $4.40 to $5.50 range. For now, the key support levels lie at $3.00 and between $2.85 and $2.90, providing some cushion in case of a pullback. Meanwhile, resistance appears firm at $3.55 to $3.60. Breaking above this zone could be the green light for a sustained upward trend.

Volume will be a major factor in confirming any breakout. Rising trading volume would support a bullish move, while low volume might suggest a temporary spike or a failed breakout attempt.

Toncoin Market Momentum and Future Outlook

Despite a modest 5.3% gain over the last month, Toncoin has been on a rough ride over the longer term—dropping about 44.4% in the past six months. At present, TON is moving between $2.55 and $3.99. The wider support sits at $1.94, while resistance levels are marked at $4.82.

Toncoin (TON) is consolidating in a triangle pattern, with a potential breakout signaling a 47% price surge. Source: Ali Martinez via X

While sentiment remains largely cautious—given the mixed signals and recent volatility—analysts are starting to warm up to a more bullish Toncoin scenario. Some forecasts suggest that if TON maintains its momentum and clears critical resistance zones, it could reach up to $3.95 sometime in 2024. This aligns with optimism around the TON blockchain’s technical strengths, especially its fast, scalable infrastructure and focus on cross-chain interoperability.

Is $4 Within Reach for Toncoin?

Between Telegram’s efforts to secure its platform and the growing bullish signals on the technical front, Toncoin could be on the verge of a significant turnaround. Of course, nothing is guaranteed, and resistance levels still pose a challenge. But if the current upward trajectory continues—and volume confirms the trend—a move toward the $4 mark is not out of the question.

TON was trading at around $3.14, up 2.34% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: Brave New Coin

As always, investors should watch for further updates in the TON crypto news space, along with key technical indicators that may signal a real breakout or a reversal. For now, the stage appears to be set for Toncoin to test its breakout potential in the coming weeks.

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Filed under: Bitcoin - @ May 18, 2025 11:00 pm