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The United States (US) will see the release of the preliminary estimate of December’s University of Michigan’s (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index on Friday. The report is expected to reflect a moderate improvement in consumers’ confidence, with the UoM Consumer Sentiment Index forecast to bounce to 52 after reaching a three-year low of 51 last month. November’s data also revealed a sharp deterioration in consumers’ views about the current economic conditions, with the index dropping to 51.1 from 58.6 in October. The Economic Expectations Index, on the other hand, improved slightly to 51 from 50.3 in October. The Consumer Sentiment Index is a monthly survey conducted by the UoM that compiles data on US consumers’ views on their personal finances, business conditions, and purchasing plans. The report is disclosed together with the UoM Consumer Expectations Index and the UoM Consumer Inflation Expectations. Two weeks later, the University of Michigan will release the final Consumer Sentiment Index report. Household consumption accounts for about two-thirds of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP). In that sense, the UoM Consumer Sentiment Index is regarded as an accurate forward-looking indicator for US economic trends, and its release tends to have a significant impact on US Dollar (USD) crosses. December’s release will be the first after a record-long US shutdown, and investors will be eager to see the impact of the government’s reopening, even though the market consensus does not show any relevant improvement. A stalled labour market and higher prices are likely to remain the biggest concerns for US consumers, keeping the Michigan Consumer Sentiment near historic lows. The 52 expected level would be an improvement from the 51 seen in November, but it marks a nearly 30% decline from the 74 reading seen in December last year. November’s official report pointed to the increasing prices…

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Filed under: News - @ December 5, 2025 12:21 pm