The post Was the Fed pressured into a larger rate cut? Something doesn’t add up appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) aggressively slashed interest rates Wednesday, announcing the first rate cut since March 2020. The decision surprised some economists and policy experts. The Fed lowered its benchmark rate by 0.50 percentage points on Wednesday, or double the more typical 0.25 percentage point cut. This move marked a critical turning point in the Fed’s fight against the hottest inflation in 40 years. Market odds overwhelmingly supported a 25 basis point cut the week before the decision. So what happened? Was the Fed pressured into a larger rate cut? Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that the central bank is “not behind” the curve and that the entity’s decision to cut by half a point is “a sign of our commitment” to not fall behind in responding to the economy’s reality. Fed rate cuts and hikes leave investors in limbo Let’s get to the nitty gritty. One week before the meeting, markets saw a 70% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut. Also, 24 hours before the decision, the odds of a 25 basis point cut were as high as 72%. On the other hand, the general sentiment heading into September supported the CME’s Fed watch sentiments. If the August jobs report showed a significant spike in unemployment, then a 50 basis point cut was needed. However, if not, why would the the Reserve arm cut too quickly with core inflation still above 3%? According to a CNN report, there was no emergency demanding an aggressive rate cut in September or any part of this year. As predicted, the August jobs report showed that unemployment fell from 4.3% to 4.2%. Soon after that report, the odds of a 50 basis point rate cut fell to 2%. This was less than two weeks before the September meeting. Moments before the…

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Filed under: News - @ September 21, 2024 10:44 pm