What Happens to Bitcoin Price if Oil Hits $180 Per Barrel?
The post What Happens to Bitcoin Price if Oil Hits $180 Per Barrel? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.
Bitcoin (BTC) has outperformed US equities and gold since the US and Israel’s attack on Iran on Feb. 28, underscoring its strength amid one of the year’s biggest geopolitical shocks. However, BTC’s rally may face a serious challenge if oil prices spike toward $180 per barrel, a scenario some Saudi Arabian officials now see as plausible if Middle East supply disruptions persist beyond April. BTC/USD (black) vs. Nasdaq (blue) daily performance chart. Source: TradingView Key takeaways: US headline inflation may rise to 5% if oil supply shock persists, lowering rate cut odds in 2026. Such macro headwinds risk sending the Bitcoin price to $51,000 in the coming months. Oil boom may double US inflation and hurt Bitcoin As of Friday, Brent crude was trading for around $105 per barrel, up roughly 50% since the US and Israel-Iran war started. Brent Crude daily performance chart. Source: TradingView Oil transits through Iran’s Strait of Hormuz fell to 9.71 million barrels per day by mid-March from 25.13 million in February, according to Kpler data. Oil transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Source: Kpler/Reuters Vortexa, an energy data tracker, estimates a steeper drop to 7.5 million barrels per day, highlighting the scale of the Middle East supply shock and why experts anticipate oil to rise another 70%. A 2023 US Federal Reserve study said that every 10% rise in crude price can add about 0.35–0.40 percentage points to US CPI. By that measure, an extended oil rally could lift inflation by roughly 2.5–2.8 points, enough to push CPI well above its current 2.4% level and further above the Fed’s 2% target. Markets are already adjusting to that risk. Policy easing expectations have shifted more hawkish, with markets no longer pricing in a second rate cut in 2026 and the odds of the first cut…
Filed under: News - @ March 21, 2026 2:26 am