The post What Will Happen to Bitcoin in 2026? appeared on BitcoinEthereumNews.com.

According to Bitcoin’s traditional four-year cycle, 2026 could mark the onset of a bear market for the world’s largest cryptocurrency. However, many analysts suggest that this familiar pattern may no longer apply in today’s market. This shift reflects a market now influenced more by institutional capital and global liquidity than by protocol events. This maturation may redefine Bitcoin’s trajectory through 2026. Sponsored Sponsored Bitcoin Outlook 2026: Beyond the 4-Year Cycle Pattern In a recent post on X, veteran trader Bob Loukas observed that the current Bitcoin cycle differs from previous ones. He cautioned investors against rigid expectations, noting that a continued advance into the first or even second quarter of next year would still fall within the cycle’s normal bounds. “This 4 yr cycle has been different to the priors, in many ways. And has a different class of participants. Therefore, we shouldn’t be too absolute in expectations. We need to give it room within the bounds of the cycle. As in, a move to a Q1 or even Q2. Well within the range of the cycle that affords room for the normal bear phase. 6-8 months would suffice,” Loukas wrote. Nonetheless, other market watchers believe that BTC now follows a 5-year cycle instead of a 4-year one. In a detailed post, an analyst highlighted that for over a decade, Bitcoin’s price followed a clear pattern connected to its four-year halving events. Each cycle delivered massive percentage gains, 9,300% in 2013, 2,300% in 2017, and 260% in 2021, followed by corrections of around 80%. However, data now shows this familiar structure is changing. Bitcoin’s Market Cycles: Source: X/BullTheoryio The analyst observed that the post-2024 halving phase has produced only an 18% gain so far. This is a notable shift from previous periods. It indicates that Bitcoin is no longer following…

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Filed under: News - @ October 29, 2025 12:28 pm